Inkqubela phambili ye umphambili obandayo 11 kunye ubunzima bomoya obunxulumene nepolar Izisa imozulu yasebusika eyongezelelekileyo kwiindawo ezininzi zaseMexico, kunye ukuvuthuza komoya, imvula kunye nokuhla okubukhali kwamaqondo obushushu ukusuka emntla ukuya kumzantsi-mpuma welizwe.
Ukongeza kwindawo epholileyo, inkqubo iyasebenza a Isiganeko saseNyakatho eya kuqinisa amaza kumacandelo eGulf of Mexico nakwi-Isthmus kunye neGulf yeTehuantepec, ngelixa uKhuseleko loLuntu lubuza thatha amanyathelo okhuseleko agqithisileyo ngenxa yemingcipheko elunxwemeni nakuhola wendlela.
I-Evolution kunye neendawo ezinomoya omninzi
Kwiiyure ezimbalwa ezizayo, i-front iya kuhamba ngaphesheya emntla nasemntla-mpumaukusebenzisana nomjelo wejethi wetropikhi kunye nokuvelisa amandla kwimimoya enamandla kakhulu: 65-80 km / h ngothuli lweedemon I-Coahuila, iNuevo León, iTamaulipas kunye neSan Luis Potosíimivimbo ye 40-60 km / h en IChihuahua, iDurango, iZacatecas kunye neAguascalientes, kunye 35-50 km / h en IBaja California, iBaja California Sur kunye neSonora.
Ngokuphathelele imvula, kulindeleke iimvula ezinendudumo en ISan Luis Potosí (iMedia kunye neHuasteca) y kumazantsi eTamaulipas, kwaye iishawari ezizimeleyo en Coahuila kunye Nuevo León; imeko eqhelekileyo xa umoya obandayo uhambela phambili kwaye udibana ukufuma okuvela kwiGulf.
Imvula, amaza aphezulu kunye nesiganeko somoya wasentla
Imijelo engaphambili kunye nephantsi yoxinzelelo, yondliwe ngumoya omanzi ovela kwiPasifiki, kwiGulf of Mexico, kunye neCaribbean, iya kuhamba. imvula enkulu en Veracruz (Los Tuxtlas, Papaloapan kunye ne-Olmeca), emantla e-Oaxaca y entshona kunye nombindi weTabasco; ngaphezu kwemvula Okomele kakhulu kwimimandla ye Puebla kunye nezinye iindawo zaseVeracruz ezifana Huasteca Alta, Huasteca Baja, Totonaca kunye neNautla.
A ivuliwe Emantla 65-75 km/h ngokuvutha kwe 85-100 km / h kunye namaza e 3-4 m kumanxweme e Tamaulipas kunye neVeracruzimivimbo ye 65-80 km / h kwi I-Isthmus kunye neGulf yeTehuantepec, kunye nemimoya ye 25-35 km / h ngokuvutha kwe 40-60 km / h kunye namaza e 1,5-2,5 m en eTabasco, eCampeche naseYucatánnge ukwanda ebusuku yamaza.
Ngalo mzekelo, oku kulandelayo kunokwenzeka ukudilika komhlabaimilambo nemilanjana enyukayo, iphuphuma kwiindawo ezisemazantsi, nokuwa imithi okanye iintengiso ngenxa yomoya onamandla; abasemagunyeni bancome ukulandela izilumkiso ze SMN-Conagua kunye Ukhuseleko lwaseburhulumenteni kwaye ungangeni emngciphekweni iindlela ezivulekileyo okanye kumanxweme.
Amaqondo obushushu: ingqele exhaphakileyo kunye neqabaka
A kulindeleke ukwehla kobushushu obuphawulweyo kwiindawo ezininzi zelizwe. Kuya kubakho amaqondo obushushu amancinci -5 ukuya ku-0 ºC kunye neeqabaka kwiintaba ze Baja California, Chihuahua kunye Durango, kunye 0 ukuya ku-5 ºC kwiintaba ze Sonora, Coahuila, Nuevo León, San Luis Potosí, Zacatecas, Aguascalientes, Jalisco, Michoacán, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, State of Mexico, Tlaxcala, Puebla, Veracruz and Oaxaca.
Kulo Valle de MexicoKuya kubanda kakhulu okanye kubande kakhulu kwiindawo eziphezulu, kunye neqabaka enokwenzeka. I-CDMX amanqaku kubuncinane be I-7-9 ºC kunye nemilinganiselo ye I-21-23 ºC; en Toluca kuqikelelwa I-3-5 ºC ubuncinci kunye I-18-20 ºC ubushushu obuphezulu, kunye nemimoya yasentla nasemntla-mpuma ukuvuthuza kwe-35-50 km / h.
Ngokwahlukileyo koko, baya kuqhubeka amaqondo obushushu aphezulu 35-40 ºC en Baja California Sur, Sonora, kumzantsi-ntshona Chihuahua, west Durango, Sinaloa, Nayarit, Jalisco, Colima, Michoacán kunye Guerrero, kunye I-30-35 ºC en I-Baja California, i-Oaxaca kunye neChiapas (unxweme), iCampeche, iYucatán kunye neQuintana Roo.
Iziganeko kunye namanyathelo asekuhlaleni
Kwi-Isthmus, abasemagunyeni balindele umoya onamandla kakhulu sisiya ngase Igophe laseTehuantepec Ngeelwandle ezilwayo kunye namaza aphakamileyo; ngoko ke, bacebisa ukuloba elunxwemeni nqumamisa ukusuka ide iphele.
La Salina Cruz Port Authority Ukuhamba kuvaliwe kwiinqanawa ezinkulu kwaye iflegi ebomvu inyusiwe, kwaye iimeko zomoya ezimbi zilindelwe ngexesha malunga neeyure ezili-48 kwipaseji yomoya.
Endleleni La Ventosa–La Venta inokusetyenziswa izithintelo ilori (ngokukodwa ngeebhokisi ezingenanto) ngenxa yomngcipheko wokugqithisa. Kwiindawo zeentaba ze Ingingqi yeChimalapas kunye neZapotec-MixeKuyacetyiswa kwindawo yokuhlala abantwana kunye nabantu abadala ebusweni bokwehla kobushushu.
Uqikelelo lwemvula ngokwengingqi
Ukuququzelela ucwangciso, kunikwe ezi nkcukacha zilandelayo: iindawo ezinamathuba aphezulu emvula kunye nokuqina kwayo okuqikelelweyo ngokweSMN:
- Ukuqina (75-150 mm): I-Veracruz (i-Los Tuxtlas, i-Papaloapan, i-Olmeca), i-Oaxaca esenyakatho, i-Tabasco esentshona kunye nephakathi.
- Yomelele kakhulu (50-75 mm): Puebla (Sierra Norte, Sierra Nororiental, Valle Serdán kunye neTehuacán-Sierra Negra) kunye nemimandla yaseVeracruz (Huasteca Alta, Huasteca Baja, Totonaca kunye neNautla).
- Yomelele (25-50 mm): Hidalgo (Huasteca, Sierra Alta kunye neSierra de Tenango), unxweme lwaseGuerrero, iVeracruz (iSotavento, i-Capital kunye neLas Montañas) kunye neChiapas (emantla nasezantsi).
- Iishawari (5-25 mm): i-Southern Tamaulipas, iSan Luis Potosí (iMedia kunye neHuasteca), iQuerétaro (iSierra Gorda), iTlaxcala, iJalisco, iColima, iMichoacán, iCampeche, iYucatán kunye neQuintana Roo.
- Iishawara ezizimeleyo (0,1-5 mm): I-San Luis Potosí (i-Highlands kunye ne-Central Region), i-Hidalgo (i-Sierra Gorda, i-Sierra Baja, i-Tulancingo Valley kunye ne-Pulque Highlands), i-Puebla (i-Angelópolis), i-Nuevo León, i-Guanajuato, i-State of Mexico kunye ne-Nayarit.
Uqikelelo lomoya namaza
Isiqendu se Emantla kwaye adumbe Kuya kufuna ingqalelo ekhethekileyo kumanxweme kunye namachweba eGulf; olu luluhlu olulindelekileyo:
- Emantla 65-75 km/h ngokuvutha kwe 85-100 km / h kunye namaza e 3-4 m: amanxweme aseTamaulipas naseVeracruz.
- Emantla 35-50 km/h ngokuvutha kwe 65-80 km / hI-Oaxaca kunye neChiapas (i-Isthmus kunye neGulf of Tehuantepec), iqinisa emva kwemini-ngokuhlwa; amaza aphezulu ebusuku eTehuantepec.
- Emantla 25-35 km/h ngokuvutha kwe 40-60 km / h: amanxweme aseTabasco, eCampeche naseYucatán, enamaza e 1,5-2,5 m nokwanda kwakusasa.
- Izahlulo zangaphakathiI-50-70 km / h eSan Luis Potosí; I-35-50 km / h e-Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Zacatecas, Guanajuato, Querétaro, Hidalgo, State of Mexico, CDMX, Tlaxcala kunye nePuebla.
Ishedyuli ye-Evolution
NgoLwesithathu: umphambili uhamba ngokukhawuleza ukunqumla Ukuthambeka kweGulf kwaye ivule iimvula kunye nemvula enkulu ukusuka kumntla-mpuma ukuya kumzantsi-mpuma, nge imvula enkulu en Veracruz, Oaxaca kunye neTabascoNgamanye amaxesha, kwaye kwiincopho eziphakamileyo, ayikwazi ukukhutshwa. ikhephu okanye iliqhwa en UPico de Orizaba y Isifuba sikaPerote ngexesha lobusuku-ekuseni.
NgoLwesine: inkqubo yandisa phezu kwe Umzantsi-mpuma kunye neYucatan Peninsula...ukugcina imvula kunye nesiganeko saseNorte, kunye ne-gusts 80-90 km / h kwi-Isthmus kunye 40-60 km / h kunxweme lweGulf; i Amaza aya kuncipha ngokuthe ngcembe. kancinci kancinci imini yonke.
NgoLwesihlanu: iphambili iya phambili ULwandle lweCaribbean kwaye iyayeka ukuba nefuthe elithe ngqo, ngelixa ubunzima bepolar ilungisa kancinciukuvumela ukunyuka kwamaqondo obushushu aphezulu, nangona kusasa kubanda kwaye iiqabaka ezizimeleyo kwiindawo eziphezulu.
Imeko iphawulwa ngu imimoya enamandla, amaza amakhulu, kunye nemvula eninzi kumazwe ahlukeneyo, kunye nokwehla ngokubanzi kobushushu; kuyacetyiswa ukuba uhlale ubukele iingxelo zemozulu SMN-Conagua kunye noKhuseleko loLuntu kunye nokulungelelanisa ukuhamba kunye nemisebenzi yaselwandle okanye yangaphandle kwi iifestile zokuphucula ukuba baqinisekise izaziso ezisemthethweni.
