Xa sithetha ngoqikelelo lwemozulu eAragon, akwanelanga ukujonga nje imaphu enye okanye i-app yeselula kwaye yiyo loo nto. Uluntu luphawulwa kukungafani okukhulu kobushushu, imvula, umoya kunye nekhephuNgoko ke, ukuqonda oko kuthethwa yimodeli nganye yamanani kunye nendlela yokuyitolika kubalulekile ekuphepheni izinto ezingalindelekanga. Ukusuka kwinkungu yeLower Cinca ukuya kwi ikhephu ePyrenees okanye umoya we-cierzo kwiNtlambo yase-Ebro, indlela umoya ojikeleze ngayo lo mmandla ayilula kangako.
Kwiminyaka yakutshanje, kuye kwavela amaqonga nezixhobo ezisinika ulwazi oluneenkcukacha ezininzi: Iimodeli ezinesisombululo esiphezulu ezifana ne-HARMONIE-AROME, iimodeli zehlabathi ezifana ne-CEPPM, i-ECMWF yaseYurophu, i-ICON yaseJamani, okanye iinethiwekhi ezininzi zezikhululo ezifana ne-Snowy'sUkongeza, iinkonzo ezisemthethweni ezifana ne-AEMET zibonelela ngeedeshibhodi ezidibanisa iimaphu ezenzekelayo, izilumkiso, umbhalo obhalwe ngababikezeli bemozulu, kunye nezishwankathelo zobushushu. Siza kucwangcisa lonke olu lwazi size sithelekise indlela ezi modeli ezisetyenziswa ngayo ukuqonda ngcono imozulu e-Aragon, kunye nemizekelo ethile yeemeko zehlabathi lokwenyani.
Iimodeli eziphambili zamanani ze-Aragon: i-HARMONIE-AROME kunye ne-CEPPM
Embindini walo naluphi na uqikelelo oluhle e-Aragon kusoloko kukho imodeli enye okanye ezingaphezulu zamanani. ezibala ukuguquka komoya ngoncedo lweekhompyutha ezinkulu. Phakathi kwezona zisetyenziswa kakhulu kulo mmandla yiHARMONIE-AROME kunye neCEPPM, nganye inefilosofi eyahlukileyo kunye nobubanzi bayo.
I-HARMONIE-AROME yimodeli enesisombululo esiphezulu eyenzelwe izikali zengingqiKwimeko yaseSpain, ivumela ukukhethwa kweendawo ezimbini ezahlukeneyo: enye igubungela i-Iberian Peninsula kunye neZiqithi zaseBalearic, kwaye enye igxile kwiziqithi zaseCanary Islands. Esi sisombululo sincinci siluncedo kakhulu e-Aragon, apho iiPyrenees kunye ne-Iberian System zitshintsha kakhulu iipateni zamafu, imvula, kunye nomoya kumgama omfutshane kakhulu.
Le modeli inika ukufikelela kwiinguqu ezininzi zomphezulu: ubushushu, uxinzelelo lomoya, umoya, imvula, isigqubuthelo samafu, amathuba okukhupha umbane kunye imimoya ephezuluNgamanye amazwi, ibonelela phantse ngayo yonke into oyifunayo ukuze ujonge imvula enkulu, iindudumo, okanye imimoya enamandla ephakathi ukuya kweyasemantla. Ixesha layo lifikelela kwiiyure ezingama-48, nto leyo eyenza ukuba ibe sisixhobo esifanelekileyo sokuqikelela ixesha elifutshane xa iinkcukacha kunye nokuchaneka kubalulekile.
Ngakolunye uhlangothi, Imodeli ye-CEPPM inika umbono obanzi nowexesha elideIkuvumela ukuba ukhethe iindawo ezimbini: iNorth Atlantic kunye neGlobal. KwiNorth Atlantic, ungajonga izinto eziguquguqukayo ezifana nobushushu, umoya, uxinzelelo, i-geopotential, isigqubuthelo samafu, kunye nemvula, ngelixa i-global domain igxile kuxinzelelo kunye ne-geopotential, amasimi amabini asisiseko okuqonda ukujikeleza okukhulu.
Inzuzo enkulu ye-CEPPM kukuba ithatha iintsuku ezili-10.Oku kwenza kube yindawo eqhelekileyo yokubhekisela kuyo xa ujonga iindlela eziqhelekileyo ezinokuchaphazela iAragon: ukufika kwezivuthuvuthu zaseAtlantiki, ukuqhambuka komoya obandayo, iipatheni zokuthintela i-anticyclonic, okanye utshintsho lweepatheni olungekabonakali kwiziganeko zasekuhlaleni kodwa sele lubonakala kwiimaphu. Kule meko, abasebenzisi bahlala bejonga uhlalutyo lwale ndlela. I-DANA kunye neemeko ezinxulumene nayo ukuqonda ukuguquka kwezinto ngokuhambelanayo.
Zombini iimodeli zihlala ziboniswa kumaqonga aneemephu ezisebenzisanayo. Ezi maphu zikuvumela ukuba usondele kwi-Aragon, ujikeleze iPeninsula, kwaye usebenzise ii-animations. Le mifanekiso ibonisa indlela ezihamba ngayo iifronts, iindawo zemvula, ii-cloud bands, okanye ii-storm cells. Olu hambo oluguquguqukayo lwenza kube lula kakhulu ukulandela uphuhliso lwemeko enzima kunokujonga umfanekiso ongashukumiyo.
Ukuthelekiswa kweemodeli zosuku oluthile e-Aragon
Ithiyori yonke ilungile, kodwa ukusebenziseka kwale modeli kubonakala xa kuthelekiswa kwimeko esebenzayo. Umzekelo oqhelekileyo lusuku lwentwasahlobo olunomahluko wobushushu, imvula ethile emantla, kunye nomoya opholileyo.imeko eqhelekileyo kakhulu eAragon, kwaye iqhelekile kwiimaphu ze iimvula kunye nezaqhwithi ezivelisa umahluko kwiindawo zasekuhlaleni.
Kwenye yezi ntsuku, uqikelelo lwangoLwesihlanu kuluntu lubonise oku kulandelayo: Amaqondo obushushu aphezulu aphakathi kwe-13 kunye ne-21 ºC kunye namaqondo obushushu aphantsi e-2 ukuya kwi-7 ºC kwiindawo ezisetyenzisiweyoImvula iyonke iphakathi kwe-0 kunye ne-7 mm kwaye kulindeleke ukuba kubekho umoya ovuthuzayo phakathi kwe-22 kunye ne-38 km/h. Ngamanye amazwi, usuku olupholileyo, olupholileyo kusasa kunye nemvula ethile egxile kwiindawo ezithile.
Ukuba sijonga iinkcukacha ngokwemasipala, le ndawo yayibonisa umahluko omkhulu e-Aragon. IZaragoza ibilindeleke ukuba ifikelele kumaqondo aphezulu obushushu angama-21ºC, iHuesca kunye neTeruel malunga ne-17ºC kunye neCalatayud kufutshane ne-18ºC.Amaqondo obushushu aphantsi kulindeleke ukuba abe yi-7ºC eZaragoza kwaye amaxabiso asondele kwi-3ºC eCalatayud, nto leyo ebonisa loo ntsasa ipholileyo neqhelekile ngaphakathi elizweni.
Ngokuphathelele imvula, Idatha yeeyure ezingama-24 ibonise i-0 mm eZaragoza, eTeruel naseCalatayud, kwaye ngokulambisa i-1 mm e-HuescaNgamanye amazwi, isiganeko esifihlakeleyo kakhulu kuluntu lonke, nangona sanele ukuqaphela isibhakabhaka esigubungele ngakumbi kunye neemvula ezincinci, ingakumbi emantla.
Ngokuphathelele umoya, into ephambili e-Aragon, uqikelelo lwezivuthuvuthu eziphezulu bezi I-22 km / h eZaragoza naseHuesca, i-30 km / h eTeruel, i-38 km / h eCalatayud kunye ne-37 km / h eJacaAsingomoya ovuthuzayo, kodwa ngumoya ophilayo, onomoya ophakathi wasentla kwezinye iindawo kunye nomoya ovuthuzayo kwiindawo ezibonakala ngathi yiHoya de Calatayud okanye iindawo ezingqonge iPyrenean.
Olu hlalutyo lukwabandakanya iimodeli zokuthelekisa itheyibhile: Indlela yokuziphatha kweemodeli ezininzi zamanani kunye noqikelelo lwe-AEMET lwe-Aragon zithelekiswe ecaleni.Enye yeemodeli ezabonakala kuloo meko yayiyimodeli ye-ICON yaseJamani, eyayigxile kakhulu ekumntla wommandla, iinkcukacha ezihambelana kakhulu noko kwenzekayo emhlabeni; oku kubonisa indlela iimaphu ezinokuthi ngamanye amaxesha zinike ulwazi olulahlekisayo. utshintsho olukhulu lwemozulu phakathi kweemveliso zemodeli.
Olu hlobo lokuthelekisa luluncedo kakhulu kwabo bangengabo abenza izifundo kunye neengcali.Kuba zikuvumela ukuba ubone ngokukhawuleza ukuba yeyiphi imodeli enamandla ngakumbi xa imvula inetha, eyandisa amafu ukuya emazantsi, okanye eyehlisa amaqondo obushushu. Ukusuka apho, ungavavanya ukuba yeyiphi edla ngokusebenza kakuhle kwiimeko ezifanayo e-Aragon kwaye ulungise indlela etolikwa ngayo ngokufanelekileyo.
Iimeko zekhephu kunye nendima yeemodeli ze-mesoscale
Xa kufika ubusika kwaye ikhephu liqala ukusebenza, ukuthembela kwiimodeli kuyanda nangakumbi.I-Aragon, ngenxa yesimo sayo, inokutshintsha ukusuka kwimvula encinci ukuya kwikhephu elikhulu kwiiyure ezimbalwa nje, ingakumbi kwimimandla yeentaba nakwezinye iintlambo ezingaphakathi; iziqendu ezithi ngamanye amaxesha zibangele iintlekele ezifana I-Cerler avalanche.
Kwingxelo yakutshanje, ehlaziywe ngoJanuwari 2 ngentsimbi ye-11:00, kuhlalutywe imveliso yemodeli yaseJamani eneemephu zobungakanani bekhephu. Ezo maphu zabonisa indawo enkulu kakhulu egqunywe likhephu kwiindawo ezifana neAragon, iCastile neLeón kunye nangaphakathi kweCatalonia., okunokuba nefuthe elikhulu ezindleleni, kwiilali ezisezintabeni, nakwimisebenzi yangaphandle; yiyo loo nto kuqhelekile ukubonisana Imephu ye-DGT yeendlela ezivaliweyo ngenxa yekhephu kwezi meko.
Nangona kunjalo, kwagxininiswa ingcamango enye esisiseko: Yayiluqikelelo lwexeshana, kuba ezinye iimodeli zibonise iimeko ezahlukeneyo.Oku kungangqinelani phakathi kweemodeli yikona okwenza kube yimfuneko ukuba uqaphele xa uthetha ngekhephu elinokuna ngokubanzi, kuba utshintsho oluncinci kwindlela yesaqhwithi okanye kubushushu obuyi-850 hPa lubonisa umda phakathi kwemvula nekhephu.
Kule meko, ingcebiso yayicacile: Landela uhlaziyo olulandelelanayo lweendlela ezahlukeneyo zokuhamba kwaye ujonge indlela ubungakanani bekhephu obulindelweyo obutshintsha ngayoOkwangoku, kwavunywa ukuba amathuba okuba ikhephu libangele iingxaki kweli lizwe ahlala emakhulu kakhulu, nto leyo ebangela ukuba kuqatshelwe kwaye kuboniswe iingcebiso ezisemthethweni.
Lo mzekelo uchaza kakuhle indlela ezisingathwa ngayo iimeko zasebusika e-Aragon: Iimodeli zeMesoscale zinceda ekuchongeni apho linokukhephuka khona kwaye lingakanani, kodwa zihlala zithelekiswa nezinye iimodeli zehlabathi kunye nohlalutyo lwabantu.KwiPyrenees nakwi-Iberian System eTeruel, oku kubalulekile, kuba ukuphakama kunye nolwakhiwo lweentlambo kunokutshintsha ngokupheleleyo ukusasazeka kwekhephu.
Iipateni zemozulu e-Aragon: uzinzo, iziphepho kunye notshintsho lweepateni
Ngaphandle kweziganeko ezithile, iimodeli zikwasetyenziselwa ukufunda ipateni ngokubanzi enokuthi ilawuleke kwiintsuku ezininzi. Umzekelo wakutshanje yayikukudlula komkhombe owawunemvula nemozulu epholileyo, kwalandela ukufika komqolo ongaphantsi kwetropiki phezu kwePeninsula., enefuthe ngqo kwiAragon; uhlalutyo oluninzi lugxininise ukuhlanganiswa kwe umqolo we-anticyclonic.
Emva kwezo ntsuku zimdaka nezimanzi, iimaphu ezivela kwimodeli ye-ECMWF yaseYurophu zibonise ukuba le ntaba ichasene nesaqhwithi yayiza kuhlangana, ukubonelela ngozinzo nobushushu ubuncinane kude kube sekupheleni kuka-EpreliImeko yayiyeyesibhakabhaka esicacileyo, imimandla embalwa evela kwiAtlantiki, kunye nokunyuka kancinci kwamaqondo obushushu, ingakumbi phakathi emini.
I-ECMWF ibonise indlela enamandla yokulwa ne-cyclonic phantse phantse yonke inyanga iphela. KwiNtlambo yase-Ebro, izixeko ezinjengeZaragoza, iCalatayud, i-Ejea de los Caballeros okanye iFraga zinokufikelela ngokulula kwi-22-24 ºC. Kwiintsuku ezimbalwa nje, amaxabiso ayephezulu ngokucacileyo kunomndilili weveki yesibini ka-Epreli. Phantse imvakalelo yangaphambi kwehlobo ngelo xesha lonyaka.
Nangona kunjalo, naphantsi kweentaba, ayizizo zonke izinto ezikhanyayo kwaye zinoxolo eAragon. Ukudibana kobushushu obuphezulu, umoya othile kwiindawo eziphakamileyo, kunye nomhlaba weentaba zePyrenees kunye ne-Iberian System kuthanda ukujikeleza komoya.Ngoko ke, iimodeli zifumanise ukuba amathuba okuba kubekho iziphepho zasemva kwemini ngempelaveki, ingakumbi ngoMgqibelo nangeCawa.
Iindawo ezazibonakala kakhulu yayizii iincopho eziphakamileyo zeHuesca Pyrenees (Hecho, Ansó valleys, Ordesa area, Benasque) kunye neentaba zaseTeruel ezingaphakathi, ezifana neGúdar-Javalambre okanye iMaestrazgo. Kwezi ndawo, izivuthuvuthu zasemva kwemini zinokuzisa isichotho, imibane emininzi, kunye neemvula ezinkulu zasekuhlaleni, ngaphandle kokubangela ukungazinzi okukhulu kulo lonke elaseAragon.
Okwangoku, kwiNtlambo yase-Ebro nakwiindawo ezisezantsi, Impelaveki ithembise isibhakabhaka esicacileyo okanye esinelanga kunye nomoya omnandi ngakumbi. kunasekuqaleni kweveki. Oku kubonisa kakuhle indlela imeko efanayo ye-synoptic enokwenzeka ngayo ngeendlela ezahlukeneyo ngokuxhomekeke kukuphakama kunye nendawo ngaphakathi kuluntu.
Ngokuphathelele ubushushu obuphakathi, esi siganeko siqinise olunye uphawu lwase-Aragonese: umahluko omkhulu phakathi kobushushu obuphantsi ebusuku nobushushu obuphezulu emini, ingakumbi ngaphakathi elizweniKwiindawo ezifana neTeruel capital okanye indawo yaseLos Monegros, ukuguquguquka kobushushu bemihla ngemihla kwe-15-18 ºC kunokufikelelwa, kunye nobusuku obupholileyo nobubandayo kwiindawo eziphakamileyo kunye nemini eshushu ngakumbi okanye eshushu ngakumbi.
Le ndlela yokuziphatha ibangelwa yindlela imozulu yase-Aragonese ehlala ngayo kwilizwekazi. Umoya owomileyo ongaphakathi ulahlekelwa bubushushu ngokukhawuleza xa ilanga litshona, kodwa ushushu ngokukhawuleza xa imitha yelanga ethe ngqo ibuya.Isiphumo saloo mahluko uqheleke kakhulu kubemi balo mmandla, nto leyo ebanyanzela ukuba banxibe iimpahla ezahlukeneyo: ijakethi kusasa, ihempe emini kunye nejakethi kwakhona ebusuku.
Ngokuphathelele ukuphela kwenyanga, imiqondiso evela kwiimodeli zexesha elide yayingacacanga ngakumbi. I-ECMWF ifumanise ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba kubekho ukuvaleka komoya kwiindawo eziphakamileyo, phakathi kweScandinavia ne-IcelandOku kungenza buthathaka ulawulo lwenkqubo yoxinzelelo oluphezulu kwiPeninsula yase-Iberia lube buthathaka. Ukuba le meko ibinokwenzeka, utshintsho kwimo yemozulu, ngokufika koxinzelelo oluphantsi nomoya obandayo phezulu, belungenakungasuswa, nto leyo ebangela ukuphela okunobuzaza kuka-Epreli.
Kwityala, I-Aragon inokufumana imvula ephindaphindayo nebanzi kunokuba bekulindelwe kwiveki ezinzileyo.Ezinye iindlela zide zabonisa ukuba imvula ingaphezulu komndilili kwiindawo zangaphakathi nezasempuma ze-Iberia Peninsula. Nangona kunjalo, kwagxininiswa ukuba, ngenxa yokuguquguquka kwemozulu yasentwasahlobo, olu hlobo lwezibikezelo ezenziwe kwangaphambili kufuneka ziphathwe ngononophelo olukhulu.
Indlela i-AEMET eveza ngayo ulwazi lwe-Aragon
Iimodeli zamanani zisisiseko, kodwa umsebenzisi wokugqibela udla ngokufikelela kwingxelo-manani ngeephothali ezifana ne-AEMET. Iphepha lesimo sezulu se-Aragon kunye nelizwe liphela lidibanisa iindlela ezahlukeneyo zokubonisa ulwazi kwiphaneli enye., elungelelaniswe neemfuno ezahlukeneyo.
Kwelinye icala, inikezelwa imaphu esebenzisana nayo apho kunokukhethwa khona izinto ezahlukeneyo zemozulu ezinomdla (ubushushu, umoya, imvula, ikhephu, njl.njl.). Le mephu isebenza kumanqanaba ahlukeneyo: kulo lonke elaseSpain, uluntu oluzimeleyo okanye izixeko, amaphondo kunye neziqithi, okukuvumela ukuba usondele kwisikali esifanelekileyo nangaliphi na ixesha.
Ukongeza, ibandakanya itheyibhile ethile enezilumkiso zemozulu embi yangokuImimoya enamandla, imvula enkulu, ikhephu, izivuthuvuthu, okanye izinto ezenzeka elunxwemeni, kuxhomekeke kwindawo leyo. Olu lwazi lubalulekile ekucwangciseni uhambo, imisebenzi yangaphandle, okanye nasiphi na isiganeko esichaphazela imozulu esenzeka eAragon; ngakumbi, kuyacetyiswa ukuba kujongwe izikhukula eAragon xa izilumkiso zivuliwe.
Le portal ikwabonelela ngokuqikelela okusekelwe kumbhalo, ibhalwe ngababikezeli bezinto ezibonisa imozulu abahlalutya baze balungise iziphumo zeemodeliLe fomathi ilula kakhulu ekufumaneni umbono okhawulezileyo wemozulu elindelekileyo ngaphandle kokutolika iimephu ezintsonkothileyo, kwaye idla ngokuquka ii-nuances zasekuhlaleni ezingabanjiswanga ziimodeli ezizenzekelayo.
Njengomncedi, Itheyibhile yoqikelelo lobushushu obuphantsi nobukhulu koomasipala ababalulekileyo inikwe. kangangeentsuku ezimbini. Le mithombo ikuvumela ukuba uthelekise umahluko phakathi kwemimandla eyahlukeneyo uze ubone, umzekelo, indlela iiPyrenees ezahluke ngayo kwi-Ebro Valley okanye iJiloca neLower Aragon.
Inkalo yobugcisa efanelekileyo yile yeeshedyuli. Ixesha lendawo eliboniswe kumgca wexesha lihambelana neenguqu eziguquguqukayo ezikhawulezileyo (ubushushu, isantya somoya, njl.njl.). Nangona kunjalo, kwizinto eziqokeleleneyo ngaphezulu kweyure, ezifana nomoya omkhulu, imvula, okanye ikhephu, ixabiso elibonisiweyo leyure ethile lihambelana nesithuba semizuzu engama-60 elandelayo. Umzekelo, imvula eqokeleleneyo ngo-09:00 ihambelana nesixa esiwe phakathi kwe-09:00 kunye ne-10:00.
Amaxesha okuphumla eeyure ezintandathu (iihexahours) okanye ngaphezulu abonakaliswa ngexesha le-UTC, Ngoko ke, kufuneka kongezwe iyure enye ebusika kunye neeyure ezimbini ehlotyeni ukuze kufunyanwe ixesha elisemthethweni le-peninsula.Le nkcukacha ibalulekile kwabo balandela ngokusondeleyo ukukhutshwa kwemodeli okanye abathelekisa iinkonzo ezahlukeneyo zamazwe ngamazwe.
Kufanelekile ukugqamisa umahluko phakathi kweemveliso ezizenzekelayo kunye neemveliso ezenziweyo. Iimaphu eziboniswe kwiwebhusayithi ye-AEMET zenziwa ngokuzenzekelayo kwiimodeli zamanani.ngaphandle kokungenelela komntu ngokuthe ngqo kuhlaziyo ngalunye. Ngokwahlukileyo koko, izicatshulwa zesimo sezulu, izilumkiso, kunye neetheyibhile zobushushu obugqithisileyo zijongwa ngababikezeli besimo sezulu abatolika baze balungise olo lwazi.
Kungenxa yoko, Akuqhelekanga ukufumana umahluko omncinci phakathi kweemaphu ezizenzekelayo kunye nokuqikelela umbhalo.Ingcali yemozulu, umzekelo, ingathambisa okanye inciphise indawo yemvula edlula kakhulu imodeli, okanye ingenise ii-nuances ze-orography eyaziyo ukuba imodeli ayimeli kakuhle kwiindawo ezithile zase-Aragon.
Imozulu yaseAragon: iintlobo ngeentlobo zemozulu kunye nemeko yemozulu
Ukuze uqonde ukuba kutheni iimodeli ngamanye amaxesha ziyenza ngokuchanekileyo kwaye ngamanye amaxesha ziyenza gwenxa e-Aragon, kuya kufuneka ujonge imozulu yangasemva. Ngokwembono yemozulu, ummandla wase-Aragonese uphantsi kwemozulu yeMeditera ekwilizwekazikunye nobusika obubandayo kunye nehlobo elishushu nelomileyo.
Nangona kunjalo, ukuthetha ngemozulu enye yase-Aragonese kukwenza kube lula kakhulu. Enye yeempawu ezibalulekileyo zalo mmandla kukwahlukahlukana okukhulu kunye nomahluko phakathi kwezithili zawo ezahlukeneyo.Kuloo mmandla mnye, kukho ukoma okukhulu kwelizwe laseBelchite, ihlobo elitshisayo laseLower Aragon, inkungu engapheliyo yaseLower Cinca, amaqondo obushushu abandayo entlambo yaseJiloca, kunye nemvula eninzi kwiintlambo zasePyrenean zase-Ansó naseHecho ezisentshona.
Olu mahluko lunokuchazwa zizinto ezahlukeneyo. Utshintsho lomoya lwengingqi kwiindawo zethu zokuphakama ludibanisa iimpembelelo zolwandle kunye neMediteraNgezivuthuvuthu zeAtlantiki, imimoya yasempuma, ukungena komoya obandayo welizwekazi, kunye neenduli ezingaphantsi kwetropiki. Kwimeko enjalo, indawo yase-Aragon ngaphakathi kwePeninsula kunye nendawo yayo yokuzikhusela kwiPyrenees kunye ne-Iberian System idlala indima ebalulekileyo.
Umahluko omkhulu kubude phakathi kweentaba namathafa, kunye nokwakheka komhlaba, Zigxininisa umahluko phakathi kobushushu kunye nobushushu bemvulaIsiphumo: icandelo eliphakathi elomileyo kakhulu, elinelona nani liphantsi kakhulu eYurophu, kunye neendawo eziphakamileyo zeentaba apho imvula ininzi khona, ngamanye amaxesha ikhephu ixesha elide lonyaka.
Ezi zinto zichaza iimpawu ezibalulekileyo zemozulu yase-Aragonese, ezifana ubusika obuqatha obuneziqendu zokubanda okukhulu kunye namaza obushushu ahlala ixesha elide ehlotyeninto leyo enokubangela ukuba amaqondo obushushu agqithise ama-55°C phakathi kobuncinci basebusika kunye nobukhulu basehlotyeni kwiminyaka ethile. Ububanzi obugqithisileyo ngokwenene xa buthelekiswa neminye imimandla yaseYurophu.
Ukuze kufundwe kwaye kubonwe ngokweenkcukacha le meko, kuveliswe i-atlas yemozulu apho Izinto eziphambili zemozulu zichongiweAmaqondo obushushu aphezulu, aphantsi, kunye naphakathi, kunye nemvula iyonke, ayabonelelwa. Iseti epheleleyo yeemephu eziphakathi zenyanga, zexesha lonyaka, nezonyaka ziyafumaneka.
Le miyinge ibhekisa kwixesha lokugqibela eliqhelekileyo eliqatshelwe yi-World Meteorological Organisation, 1991-2020, enika umfanekiso wangoku wemozulu yase-Aragonese xa kuthelekiswa nokufudumala kwehlabathiYindlela ebalulekileyo xa kuthelekiswa uqikelelo lwemodeli noko kwakubonwa “njengesiqhelo” kwiminyaka embalwa eyadlulayo.
Ukongeza, i-atlas inika isiseko sedatha semihla ngemihla samaqondo obushushu kunye nemvula ukusuka ngo-1951 ukuya ku-2020ngesisombululo sendawo esiyi-1 km² kulo lonke ummandla waseAragon. Nabani na umsebenzisi angajonga idatha yosuku oluthile nangaliphi na ixesha kulo mmandla, okuvumela uhlalutyo lweendlela, iziganeko ezigqithisileyo, kunye notshintsho lwakutshanje kwimeko yemozulu.
Inethiwekhi yezikhululo kunye nokujonga ngexesha langempela: umzekelo weSnowy
Iimodeli zamanani zifuna idatha yokwenyani ukuze ziqinisekiswe kwaye ziphuculwe, kwaye umsebenzisi ufuna ukwazi okwenzekayo ngoku. Kulapho ke ukuqwalasela okwenzeka ngexesha langempela kusebenza khona, apho amaqonga afana noSnowy abe ngamaqabane okujonga imozulu eAragon..
USnowy unikezela ngokufikelela kwi Izikhululo zemozulu ezingama-66 zisasazeke kulo lonke elaseAragonukwenza inethiwekhi yokusebenzisana egubungela yonke imimandla. Ngexesha elichaziweyo, zonke izikhululo ezingama-66 zazithumela idatha ephilayo, oko kukuthi, ukugubungela okusebenzayo nge-100%, into exabisekileyo kakhulu ngokuba nesithombe semozulu esiphantse siqhubeke sommandla.
Ezi zikhululo zibonelela ngemilinganiselo yexesha langempela ubushushu, ukufuma okulinganiselweyo, imvula, isantya somoya kunye noxinzelelo lomoyaNgezi parameters, umsebenzisi unokujonga ukuba oko bekuxelwe kwangaphambili yimodeli kuyazaliseka na okanye ukuba kukho ukuphambuka okubalulekileyo okwenzekayo.
Iqonga linemephu esebenzisana nayo apho unokuhlola khona indawo yesitishi ngasinye. Ukucofa kwindawo ethile kunika ukufikelela kulwazi oluneenkcukacha malunga naloo ndawo.kunye nophuhliso lwayo lwakutshanje, olunceda ekufumaneni izivunguvungu zasekuhlaleni, ukuqhambuka komoya ngequbuliso okanye ukwehla kobushushu obuhambelana notshintsho kubunzima bomoya.
Ukongeza, umsebenzisi unako Yenza uluhlu lwezikhululo zakho ozithandayo ukuze uhlale unazo.Oku kuluncedo kakhulu ukuba ufuna ukujonga ngokusondeleyo iindawo ezithile ezifana nentlambo yasePyrenean enomdla, isixeko ohlala kuso, okanye indawo yezolimo echaphazeleka yingqele nesichotho.
Olu didi lweemodeli ezijonge ikamva kunye nezitishi ezixela okwenzekayo ngoku Yiyo le nto ivumela uqikelelo oluphucukileyo ngakumbi kummandla onzima njengeAragon.Xa imodeli iqikelela imvula phakathi kwemini kwaye izitishi ziqala ukubhalisa ukufuma okwandileyo kunye noxinzelelo oluphantsi, ukuzithemba kuloo meko kuyakhula ngokucacileyo.
Kunye neenethiwekhi ezisemthethweni kunye nezixhobo zobungcali, kufuneka sikhankanye namaqonga axhaswa yintengiso okanye iimveliso ezihlawulelwayo. Kwezinye iimeko, umsebenzisi uyakhunjuzwa ukuba intengiso ibalulekile ukuze kugcinwe inkonzo yasimahla enenqanaba leenkcukacha kunye nokuchaneka okunikezelwayo., icela abasebenzisi ukuba babhale idomeyini elubala kwi-ad blocker yabo okanye bacinge ngokuthenga iinkonzo zeprimiyamu.
Okokugqibela, uninzi lwale misebenzi luqhutywa ngabantu abangengabo abaqeqeshi okanye iingcali ezikhutheleyo kwimidiya yoluntu. Bakhuthaza abasebenzisi ukuba bashiye uphononongo okanye amanqaku kwiinkonzo ezifana neGoogleYindlela yokuxhasa umsebenzi wokujonga imozulu, odla ngokufuna iiyure ezininzi zohlalutyo kunye nohlaziyo oluqhubekayo, ingakumbi kwiimeko ezinzima.
Lonke olu hlobo lwenkqubo yeemodeli zamanani, iinkonzo ezisemthethweni, ii-atlases zemozulu, kunye neenethiwekhi zezikhululo zithetha ukuba, namhlanje, Nabani na onomdla kwi-meteorology yase-Aragon angafikelela kulwazi oluninzi noluneenkcukacha ezininzi.Eyona nto iphambili kukwazi indlela yokuzidibanisa: ukusebenzisa iimodeli ezinesisombululo esiphezulu ezifana ne-HARMONIE-AROME kwixesha elifutshane, iimodeli zehlabathi ezifana ne-CEPPM okanye i-ECMWF ukubona umkhwa, izixhobo ezifana ne-ICON zokuchonga iziganeko ezithile zemvula okanye zekhephu, kunye nokuthelekisa konke oku nedatha evela kwi-AEMET (i-Spanish State Meteorological Agency), izitishi zemozulu zexesha langempela, kunye nolwazi lwemozulu lwengingqi. Ngale ngxubevange, ukulindela okuza kwenzeka ePyrenees, e-Ebro Valley, okanye kummandla waseJiloca kuyayeka ukuba yilotho kwaye kuba ngumsebenzi ochanekileyo ngakumbi ekutolikweni.
