I-Meteorology njengenzululwazi ihambela phambili ngenxa yophuhliso lobuchwepheshe. Okwangoku, kukho iinkqubo ezininzi zekhompyuter ezikwaziyo ukuqikelela ngokuthe ngqo ukuba iya kuna nini kwaye phi. Inkampani ye DeepMind uvelise ubukrelekrele bokuzenzela obunakho ukuqikelela phantse ngokuthe ngqo ukuba iza kunetha nini kwaye phi. Le nkampani isebenze kunye neemeteorologists zase-UK ukwenza imodeli ebhetele yokwenza uqikelelo lwexesha elifutshane kuneenkqubo ezikhoyo.
Kweli nqaku, siya kukuxelela yonke into ekufuneka uyazi malunga nentengiso yesitokhwe saseRobleda kunye netekhnoloji yokuqikelela imozulu ye-DeepMind.
Uqikelelo lwemozulu
I-DeepMind, inkampani esekwe eLondon yobukrelekrele bokuzenzela, uyaqhubeka nomsebenzi wakhe wokusebenzisa imfundo enzulu kwiingxaki ezinzima zenzululwazi. I-DeepMind iphuhlise isixhobo sokufunda nzulu esibizwa ngokuba yi-DGMR ngentsebenziswano ne-Ofisi ye-Met yeNkonzo yeMozulu yaseBritani, enokuthi iqikelele ngokuchanekileyo ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba nemvula kwimizuzu engama-90 ezayo, umceli mngeni obalulekileyo kwi-Met. uqikelelo lwemozulu.
Xa kuthelekiswa nezixhobo ezikhoyo, uninzi lweengcali zikholelwa ukuba uqikelelo lwe-DGMR lolona luhamba phambili kwizinto ezininzi, kubandakanya ukuqikelela indawo, uluhlu, intshukumo kunye nokuqina kwemvula, i-89% yexesha. Isixhobo esitsha se-DeepMind sivula isitshixo esitsha kwi-biology izazinzulu ebezama ukusombulula amashumi eminyaka.
Nangona kunjalo, nkqu nokuphuculwa okuncinci kuqikelelo kubalulekile. Ukuqikelela imvula, ngakumbi imvula enkulu, kubalulekile kumashishini amaninzi, ukusuka kwimisebenzi yangaphandle ukuya kwiinkonzo zokuhamba ngenqwelomoya kunye nongxamiseko. Kodwa ukuyilungisa kunzima. Ukufumanisa ukuba amanzi angakanani esibhakabhakeni kwaye nini kwaye iya kuwela phi kuxhomekeke kwiinkqubo ezininzi zemozulu, njengokutshintsha kobushushu, ukuvela kwamafu nomoya. Zonke ezi zinto zintsonkothile ngokwaneleyo ngokwazo, kodwa ziba nzima ngakumbi xa zidityanisiwe. Ukuze ufunde ngakumbi malunga nale nto, unokujonga inqaku kwi Inkcazo yemeteorology.
Eyona teknoloji ibalaseleyo yokuqikelela isebenzisa inani elikhulu leemodeli zekhompyuter zefizikiki yomoya. Ezi zilungele uqikelelo lwexesha elide, kodwa azilunganga kakhulu ekuqikeleleni okuza kwenzeka kule yure izayo. Oku kubizwa ngokuba luqikelelo kwangoko.
Uphuhliso olunzulu
Ubuchule bokufunda obunzulu bangaphambili buphuhlisiwe, kodwa obu buchule busebenza kakuhle kwinkalo enye, njengokuqikelela indawo, ngeendleko zomnye, njengokuxela kwangaphambili amandla. Idatha yeRadar yeemvula ezinkulu ezinceda ukuqikelela imvula ngokukhawuleza ihleli ingumngeni omkhulu kwiingcali zemozulu.
Iqela le-DeepMind lisebenzise idatha ye-radar ukuqeqesha i-AI yabo. Amazwe amaninzi kunye nemimandla ihlala ipapasha iifoto zemilinganiselo ye-radar elandelela ukwakheka kwamafu kunye nokuhamba imini yonke. Umzekelo, e-UK, ukufundwa okutsha kuthunyelwa rhoqo kwimizuzu emihlanu. Ngokubeka ezi zinto zidibeneyo, unokufumana ividiyo yokuma eshukumayo ehlaziyiweyo ebonisa indlela ipateni yemvula yelizwe etshintsha ngayo.
Abaphandi bathumela le datha kuthungelwano olunzulu lwesizukulwane esifana neGAN, eyi-AI eqeqeshiweyo enokuvelisa iisampulu zedatha ezintsha ezifanayo kakhulu nedatha yokwenyani esetyenziswe kuqeqesho. I-GAN isetyenziselwe ukuvelisa ubuso bobuxoki, kubandakanya iRembrandt engeyiyo. Kule meko, i-DGMR (emele "Imodeli yemvula enzulu") ifundile ukuvelisa izifinyezo ze-radar ezingezizo eziqhubeka ngokulandelelana komlinganiso.
Uvavanyo lwe-DeepMind AI
UShakir Mohamed, okhokele uphando kwi-DeepMind, uthe oku kuyafana nokubukela iifreyimu ezimbalwa kumdlalo bhanyabhanya kunye nokuqikelela ukuba kuzakwenzeka ntoni emva koko. Ukuvavanya le ndlela, iqela libuze ama-meteorologists angama-56 avela kwi-Bureau of Meteorology (ababengabandakanyekanga emsebenzini) ukuba bajonge kwiimpawu eziphambili zomzimba kunye neqela labachasi.
I-89% yabantu ithe bakhetha iziphumo ezinikezwe yi-DGMR. Ialgorithms yokufunda ngomatshini ngokubanzi izama ukwandisa umlinganiso olula wokuba zilungile kangakanani iingqikelelo zakho. Nangona kunjalo, uqikelelo lwemozulu lunezinto ezininzi ezahlukeneyo. Mhlawumbi ukubikezela kuye kwafumana amandla emvula angalunganga kwindawo efanelekileyo, okanye enye ingqikelelo ifumene indibaniselwano echanekileyo yokuqina kodwa kwindawo engalunganga, njalo njalo. Ukuze ufunde ngakumbi malunga nendlela iinkqubo zemeteorological ezisebenza ngayo, sincoma ukufunda malunga umahluko phakathi kwe-anticyclones kunye nokudakumba.
I-DeepMind ithe izakukhupha ubume bazo zonke iiproteni ezaziwa yisayensi. Inkampani isebenzise iprotein yayo yeAlphaFold yokusonga ubukrelekrele bokuvelisa ukwenza iiproteni zomntu, kunye negwele, iimpukane zeziqhamo kunye neempuku.
Intsebenziswano phakathi kwe-DeepMind kunye ne-Met Office ngumzekelo olungileyo wokusebenza nabasebenzisi bokugqibela ukugqibezela uphuhliso lwe-AI. Ngokucacileyo, eli licebo elilungileyo, kodwa kaninzi akwenzeki. Iqela lisebenze kule projekthi iminyaka eliqela, kwaye igalelo elivela kwiingcali kwiBureau yeMeteorology yabumba iprojekthi. USuman Ravuri, isazinzulu sophando kwi-DeepMind, uthe: "Ikhuthaza uphuhliso lwemodeli yethu ngendlela eyahlukileyo kunokuphunyezwa kwethu." Ngaphandle koko, sinokuthi senze imodeli engayi kuba luncedo kakhulu ekugqibeleni. Ukufunda ngakumbi malunga nezicelo ezahlukeneyo zemeteorology, ungandwendwela inqaku elithi iidrones kwimeteorology.
I-DeepMind ikwanomdla wokubonisa ukuba i-AI yayo inezicelo ezisebenzayo. I-Shakir, i-DGMR kunye ne-AlphaFold ziyinxalenye yebali elifanayo: inkampani isebenzisa iminyaka yabo yamava ukusombulula iipuzzle. Mhlawumbi esona sigqibo sibaluleke kakhulu apha kukuba i-DeepMind igqibile ukudwelisa iingxaki zehlabathi zenzululwazi.
Inkqubela phambili kuqikelelo lwemozulu
Uqikelelo lwemozulu kufuneka luxhaswe luphuhliso lwetekhnoloji njengoko sisondela kwaye sisondela ekuqondeni ngokupheleleyo ukuba umoya wethu usebenza njani. Amaxesha amaninzi umntu kunye nokubala kwakhe kunokuxhomekeka kwiimpazamo eziqhelekileyo ezinokuphetshwa ngophuhliso lobukrelekrele bokuzenzela.
Uqikelelo lwemozulu lungundoqo ebantwini kuba sinokuthatha amathuba amaninzi ubutyebi bamanzi obusebenza kakuhle ngakumbi kwaye kuthintelwe iintlekele ezithile kwisaqhwithi nakwiimvula ezinkulu. Ngesi sizathu, oochwephesha bemozulu bayavuma ukuba baphuhlise iiprojekthi zobukrelekrele bokuqikelela imvula.
Ndiyathemba ukuba ngolu lwazi unokufunda ngakumbi malunga neprojekthi ye-DeepMind kunye neempawu zayo.